When looking at the Indian market, I disagree strongly that online can even
serve as a mass reach media. Let me tell you why. India may be the 3rd largest
internet market, but its internet
density is a mere 17%. Compare that
to the teledensity of television at 47%, and telephones at 63% and you will
surely agree that the online medium in India is nowhere close to being mass
reach.
MODE
|
Density in India
|
Internet
|
~17%
|
Television
|
~47%
|
Telephones/Mobiles
|
~63%
|
Movie screens
|
~12000 screens across India
|
Further, IAMAI's optimistic numbers
suggest there are ~200mn Indian internet users in Oct 2013, of these 165 mn are
active users, and only 10% of these
users participate in online transactions. So that makes our addressable market size 16mn, hardly
qualifying as mass reach. Add to that the effect of piracy on the Indian movie business and you will see why
I feel premiering movies online in India will not work.
There are ~12000 screens in India which provide a much better distribution
channel, and 'Chennai Express' was able to reach 3500 of them and grossed more
than Rs 300cr. Can anybody truly suggest that releasing it online would have
brought in even a fraction of those kinds of numbers for the Indian market ?
Premiering new movies on the online
medium might work in the following cases:
1) Countries where internet density is
high, and % of users who engage in online transactions is high
2) Niche movies in India who are
targeting a limited Tier 1 Urban audience
The online distribution medium will grow
and may even become viable in the future, but in 2013 and 2014, movies should continue increasing
distribution via movie screens and would do better to look at
alternately premiering on TV in India,
if mass reach is their final objective.
(Data from: IAMAI, Comscore, India
Houselisting and housing Census 2011, KPMG-FICCI report)
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